Originally posted by KOTRAX:
I WAS GOING TO START A SIMILAR THREAD.
ALSO I THINK RBBC HAS RUINED THE LANDSCAPE OF FANTASY FOOTBALL TO A DEGREE.
DON'T GET ME WRONG IT IS STILL FUN BUT IN A LEAGUE TODAY WHEN SO MANY TEAMS ROTATE BACKS IT'S CRAZY.
YOU REALLY CAN'T PROJECT ANYTHING.Can't you at least then project that "maybe RBs are less predictable, therefore maybe I should wait on them and stock up on top-shelf, proven, more reliable WRs, QBs and maybe even TEs?"
That was our strategy this year (and yes, I know it's only been 3 weeks, so I'm not declaring victory yet
). As much as we all know that each draft is different and we have to see how it progresses, I do believe a basic script can be made. IOW, "I'm ready to adapt as necessary, but THIS would be my dream draft (as far as what positions we'd draft in each of the first 6 or 7 rounds)". And if the players we want in each round fall to us so that we can actually follow our script, then why not?
Using projected stats and a spreadsheet with NFFC scoring rules and after dozens of mock drafts, we drew the conclusion (right or wrong, as I'm sure many strategies can succeed) that we really wanted to start both main event drafts w/ 2 top-10 WRs, then if Manning or Rodgers fell to the 3rd, scoop them up. With the NFFC scoring, it just seemed to us that there's a premium on the very top QBs. We knew we wouldn't be drafting any RBs til round 4 this way, so we'd have to stock up on them over the next several rounds. Essentially, if we take a shotgun to shoot fish in a barrel, we might actually hit a couple.
In the Classic, we went Wayne, Colston, Rodgers, then stocked up at RB w/ LJ (ick), Parker, Bradshaw and Washington in back-to-back rounds 4-7. Steve Smith in the 8th was someone we targeted for his PPR upside, but never expected him to be THIS good (at least so far).
In the Primetime, we went Moss, Boldin, Manning, then grabbed Bush, Moreno, Wells, Hightower and McGahee (not back-to-back though, but bunched together except for McGahee in the 11th). Dallas Clark in the 6th (whom we considered as sure a thing among TEs as top WRs are) has certainly helped too.
Have ALL of our RB2/RB3 types hit yet? Of course not. But every year it seems that around half of the top RBs (first 2 rounds) don't perform as projected, and of course, by year's end, 1/3-1/2 of the actual top RBs came out of mid-round nowhere. So with such unpredictability, RBBCs, increased injury risks of RBs, why not use early picks on less "luck-affected" players, then throw a bunch of darts at RB. This leaves us without any true RB1s, but the hope is that our top WRs and QB can makeup the difference.
Of course, injuries are the almighty wildcard. And we've been there, done that too. Let's hope not THIS year tho.
[ September 28, 2009, 03:33 PM: Message edited by: Sandman62 ]
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