Re: Definition of Gambling
Posted: Thu Oct 22, 2015 8:45 pm
If you never look at your cards, then you're way more lucky than skillful. I guarantee you if I see my opponents' hole cards, my chances of winning hands increases way more than 1.5%. Think about it, I would always know where I stood in the hand. If I knew I had no outs, I fold. That alone would decrease the chances that I lose big pots. It also would eliminate me bluffing against made hands. Those two things alone give me a significant advantage. Especially against people that don't look at their hole cards!JohnyFantasyFootball wrote:Nah. Its right. Think about it. If you pushed the pot every time you were in the lead after the first two cards, you would lose a lot. So, lets figure that you wait. Then you would see the odds too often even as the hand went on. You would lose your edge and then sill push the pot too many times. Chances are, overall you would only gain a very small edge. I agree with the statistic. But, I also agree that this amount could loom quite large...much larger than 1.5% sounds. I almost always win at tournament poker and almost always lose at cash games. My strategy is to never look at my cards...if I have doubt....I fold. I go strictly on the vibes I get from my opponents. So, I have a pretty good idea what they have (I think). Not looking at my own cards keeps me from adjusting my read based on how I interpret my own hand. I have played in 94 live tournaments. I have never looked at my hand...not even once. I have cashed 23 times. I have never won outright. Best position was 4 out of 820. So, either I am really good (I doubt it) or luck has a lot to do with it! For the record, in final tables and cash games situations...my no look strategy seems to falter...I have no idea why. And, I am too stubborn to look at my cards....certain if I start, I won't be able to stop.
DFS seems to have less luck than poker in my opinion, because it doesn't matter that the value of a hand may change as new cards present themselves. The value of the team is not based on your opponents failure to realize he has a poorer line-up. The game always plays out to the end. Nobody folds. If it was poker, we would all put Royal Flushes in our hands and tie...but, its not...and that is where the skill, based on knowledge and percentages, comes in. DFS is not as luck based as poker, but still gambling. I will stick to 3.8 percent as a guess. Why not...I might get lucky and prove to be spot on! LOL!