NFL Locks Week 6

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 4:04 am

Originally posted by Walla Walla:
Nnoy, Only a fool would try to pick teams week to week. A true wise guy will pick when the times right. Could be two weeks in a row or it could be no action for 6 weeks. By posting your picks each week your proving to be a fool. No suprise to the rest of us though. I believe others have already clearly responded to your post, but to add a few more points:

No one here is claiming to be a “wise guy” and none of us aspire to such a position. On my weekly radio show (like many other shows) we highlight our best three picks for the week. I figured it would be fun to extend this to the MB.

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 4:14 am

Rationale for my picks:

(Details about the contest to be formalized this week, it will include standard lines that we all lock into on Friday’s)

NE -4.5: I love it when the popular media is way off base and the public buys into the hype. NE v. SEA will be a perfect example of this today. The soft SEA D (as proven in last week’s collapse against SEA) will be torched today. I see 28-35 points for NE. Brady will dissect them the entire day, and Hasslebeck is primed to make numerous mistakes. I like NE by at least 14 in this one.

DAL -3: Again a classic example of the media setting up a team/player up for a major fall. I follow the MAC closely and I knew a few years back that Big Ben was legit. But he’s not the 2nd coming of Dan Marino and he won’t be ample to handle what the Cowboys will throw at him today. I think the DAL running game will get back on track (I see 100+ for Eddie) and I like DAL to win this game by at least 10 points.

OAK +2.5: The Den offense is in disarray and don’t expect any repeat performances from last week. The Raiders are always tough at home and I like them as an outright winner today. Look for a nice bounce-back game for Collins.

[ October 17, 2004, 10:15 AM: Message edited by: nnoy ]

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 4:34 am

Summary of the picks for this week:

(I’ll include lines as of 11:20 am EDT from the legitimate service I have used since 1994. If we have a game hit the middle (between the line the picker posted and the line I post now, we will give them credit for a W as long as the line is verifiable.)

NNOY: NE -4, Dal -3 EV, Oak +3
KW3 KC -3, Pit +3 -120, Cin +3
Vega$ Gambler$: Stl -7 +105, SD +4.5, Cin +3
KJ Duke: Ten -6.5, Pit +3 -120, NYJ -10
Primo: Ten -6.5, Oak +3, Sea +4
FF MadMan: Cin +3, KC-3, NO +4.5

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:14 am

We will in fact talk more NE SEA, as predicted Hasslebeck has already thrown a pick and NE marched right down the field.

Favre this week and most likely almost every remaining week.

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:16 am

Primo you can’t delete posts if your “win by 20 team” (SEA) goes down 7-0 to start the game (yes it’s the beginning of a VERY long day for them.)

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:18 am

If you are wondering I did in fact put the rent money on NE. Played them 1st half -1.5 as well. When they get up by 17+ today they will not fold up like SEA did last week

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:19 am

1-10-SEA 25 (7:39) S.Alexander left end to SEA 25 for no gain (R.Harrison).

Expect to see about 10 more of these today.

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:24 am

Here's a shocker:

3-11-SEA 35 (5:07) M.Hasselbeck pass intended for D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by T.Law at SEA 43. T.Law ran ob at SEA 43 for no gain.

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:44 am

I’m really not this obnoxious in real life, but everyone I know was talking crap this week (including a number of the morons in the media) about how SEA could or WOULD win this week. They are a FRAUD, and I’m not sure why no one else could see this. So as NE pours it on today I will continue to shout: scoreboard!

nnoy · Post by **nnoy** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:53 am

News flash: NE 17 SEA 0

[ October 17, 2004, 12:54 PM: Message edited by: nnoy ]