Post
by Shrink Attack » Wed Nov 04, 2009 8:54 am
Originally posted by Gordon Gekko II:
quote:Originally posted by Shrink Attack:
quote:Originally posted by Jersey Dawg:
I just noticed that Golden Tornado is number 5 overall in the Classic and number 1 overall in the Primetime. That alone is pretty darn great. But... He is also number 1 overall in the WCOFF through week 8, so his run is AMAZING! Great job so far and hats off to your drafting, management and luck skills to date.
Pete Yep...this hobby is mostly luck alright. [/QUOTE]i musta missed this one Paul. i'm guessing you're trying to jab me here.
i love when people take one instance and try and use it as PROOF that this is primarily a game of skill. was this owner ranked in prior years? where will he finish next year? Now Paul wants to chalk this up to a game of skill. As always, you are free to think whatever you want, but consider what I recently wrote in a PM to a top fantasy football gamer (no offense to anyone)…
“Success in fantasy football is based primarily on “luck”. As long as someone has an average knowledge of fantasy football, their success (on average) will almost be as good as someone who is considered an “expert”.
If you want to compare, look at Billy Waz’s success playing high stakes fantasy football. After 5 years, he’s the LIFETIME points leader in the NFFC, yet, he’s only won 1 league title and has never finished in the Top 10 at season’s end. In comparison, in fantasy baseball, Shawn Childs is widely regarded as the best player in the world. He’s won an impressive 4 league titles in 6 years and has finished in the Top 10, 4 times!!!! No comparison…luck reigns supreme in fantasy football.”
Players ONLY playing fantasy football don’t realize how much luck is involved. I understand; we ALL want to think this is primarily a game of skill. Heck, after winning the 100K in 2004, I thought it was mostly skill. Then reality set in. I was biased and looking at one instance. [/QUOTE]That wasn't intended as a specific jab at you, Mark.
You have a player here who is winning or close to winning three separate High-Stakes National Championships, one of which is 12-teamer, the other a 14-teamer, and another has a different scoring system. These were three separate drafts against all different opponents and he's still able to dominate.
My only point is that there is skill involved here, and more skill than luck IMO if he's able to duplicate it in three different contests. Assign whatever percentage to luck vs. skill you want, but saying success in Fantasy Football is "based primarily on luck" sounds like simplistic reasoning in order to explain undesirable outcomes.
"Deserve" ain't got nothin' to do with it
---Clint Eastwood in The Unforgiven