So how did everyone do?
Posted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:11 pm
KoQ == The problem with having two or three sollid WRs emerge from that group is that you'll likely want to start four receivers each week. Last year there were only 15 WRs who had 70/900 so getting three of your guys to do it this year is a little hopeful, given that the 15 from last year is less than 10 when you exclude the elite receivers (Holt, Moss, Harrison, C. Johnson, Boldin, D. Mason), and especially because not a single receiver you mentioned did it last year.
Nnoy -- A little bit of math:
Lets give Curtis Martin the same stats as last year, but 5 TDs instead of 1 . That's 204 points (including his two fumbles lost). Receivers you probably could have picked in that spot include Hines Ward (271 points last year), Derrick Mason (273 points) and Steve Smith (240 points).
A guy like Reggie Wayne (picked in the 6th round in my draft) had 193.8 points last year -- and it was just a solid (not spectacular) year for a WR.
So even if you play Curtis Martin every week in the flex spot, you picked him in the 3rd round, but could have received similar production from a lesser WR a few rounds later. AND, you would still need to fill 3 WR slots after the third round.
So in my mind, your pick of Martin only makes sense if he a)dramatically outperforms last year's numbers (more than ths 5TDs I gave him) or, b) one of your top 2 RBs gets hurt.
Even as a big Jet fan, I doubt #1 and think the third round is too early for an insurance pick.
Any 1 point per reception league evens out the WR/RB balance (other than for the elite few RBs) and in a league where RBs get 0.5 points per catch, the balance swings the other way.
Everyone is so used to the stud RB theory of drafting -- I just don't see how it works in this league. Those who picked RB/RB/RB will be scrambling to find players to fill their 2nd, 3rd and maybe 4th WR spots.
Finally Curtis Martin averaged less than 12 points per week last year (and averaged less than 10 in the first 13 weeks), so saying his worst case scenario is 12-12.5 isn't reasonable.
Nnoy -- A little bit of math:
Lets give Curtis Martin the same stats as last year, but 5 TDs instead of 1 . That's 204 points (including his two fumbles lost). Receivers you probably could have picked in that spot include Hines Ward (271 points last year), Derrick Mason (273 points) and Steve Smith (240 points).
A guy like Reggie Wayne (picked in the 6th round in my draft) had 193.8 points last year -- and it was just a solid (not spectacular) year for a WR.
So even if you play Curtis Martin every week in the flex spot, you picked him in the 3rd round, but could have received similar production from a lesser WR a few rounds later. AND, you would still need to fill 3 WR slots after the third round.
So in my mind, your pick of Martin only makes sense if he a)dramatically outperforms last year's numbers (more than ths 5TDs I gave him) or, b) one of your top 2 RBs gets hurt.
Even as a big Jet fan, I doubt #1 and think the third round is too early for an insurance pick.
Any 1 point per reception league evens out the WR/RB balance (other than for the elite few RBs) and in a league where RBs get 0.5 points per catch, the balance swings the other way.
Everyone is so used to the stud RB theory of drafting -- I just don't see how it works in this league. Those who picked RB/RB/RB will be scrambling to find players to fill their 2nd, 3rd and maybe 4th WR spots.
Finally Curtis Martin averaged less than 12 points per week last year (and averaged less than 10 in the first 13 weeks), so saying his worst case scenario is 12-12.5 isn't reasonable.