Week 5 "Who Do I Start" (WDIS)?
Posted: Wed Oct 07, 2009 11:24 am
Classic:
1 RB - Washington (@MIA), Parker/Moore (@DET), LJ (vs. DAL)
Miami's only allowing 61 yds rushing per game. Despite Coach Ryan's displeasure w/ Leon only getting 8 snaps last week, will 12 more snaps really help vs. this D? Parker's unlikely to play, but Moore would seem to be a very high risk chance if the Steelers continue to feed Mendy so much. One would think though that, vs. DET, there would be enough to go around for 2 RBs? LJ has actually been a little better at home (just "bad" instead of "awful"? ) and the Broncos seemed to be able to run on Dallas last week. With Romo in a funk and maybe missing Roy this week, will Dallas give the ball up quicker?
We're leaning towards Moore so far.
1 WR - Gage (vs. IND), Caldwell (@BAL)
Despite the emergence of Nate Washington, Gage is still the more sizeable target. And yes Britt cuts into Gage's reps too. This week vs. the Jags, the targets went: Washington 12, Britt 11, and Gage 5. But in week 3 vs. the Jets, Gage still had more targets than them at 10 (Washington 9, Britt 6); and that was w/ Revis at corner. So I'm not quite ready to give up on Gage yet. One more game where he's the least targeted might push us over the top tho.
But the matchup vs. Indy should give them some opps to throw a lot.
Caldwell's matchup against the Ravens may look bad by reputation. But they're ranked 22nd in receiving D, allowing nearly 250 yds/gm and 5 TDs. And even though footballoutsiders.com ranks the BAL D highly vs. #2 WRs, #2s haven't done that poorly so far against them: KC's Bradley 4/73, SD's Floyd/Chambers combined for 3/75, CLE's Furrey 4/40, NE's Welker 6/48 and Brady hit 9 different receivers. Caldwell has 23 targets so far compared to 21 for Coles, but Caldwell's reeled in 16 vs. 10 of those. Certainly not expecting a huge game, but 10-15 fantasy points would be great.
Flex - One more from the above
We're leaning towards starting both WRs and not messing w/ Leon or LJ this week.
Primetime:
1 WR - Garcon (@TEN), Crayton (@KC), Harvin (@STL), BJohnson (vs. PIT)
Garcon has a sweet matchup where Manning should tear up the weak TEN secondary. Ya never know tho w/ these intradivisional games; TEN could play them tough (tho doubtful this year). Harvin has a nice matchup too, but he's just not involved enough in that offense to be reliable. Crayton may get a few more looks this week if Roy is out, but he may also draw more doubles? Though PIT's allowed 7 receiving TDs, neither Stafford nor Culpepper are Rivers or Palmer.
Most likely going w/ Garcon, esp. seeing this could be his last productive week if Gonzo returns in week 7 after their bye.
1 RB - Washington (@MIA), Parker/Moore (@DET), LJ (vs. DAL)
Miami's only allowing 61 yds rushing per game. Despite Coach Ryan's displeasure w/ Leon only getting 8 snaps last week, will 12 more snaps really help vs. this D? Parker's unlikely to play, but Moore would seem to be a very high risk chance if the Steelers continue to feed Mendy so much. One would think though that, vs. DET, there would be enough to go around for 2 RBs? LJ has actually been a little better at home (just "bad" instead of "awful"? ) and the Broncos seemed to be able to run on Dallas last week. With Romo in a funk and maybe missing Roy this week, will Dallas give the ball up quicker?
We're leaning towards Moore so far.
1 WR - Gage (vs. IND), Caldwell (@BAL)
Despite the emergence of Nate Washington, Gage is still the more sizeable target. And yes Britt cuts into Gage's reps too. This week vs. the Jags, the targets went: Washington 12, Britt 11, and Gage 5. But in week 3 vs. the Jets, Gage still had more targets than them at 10 (Washington 9, Britt 6); and that was w/ Revis at corner. So I'm not quite ready to give up on Gage yet. One more game where he's the least targeted might push us over the top tho.
![Wink ;)](./images/smilies/icon_e_wink.gif)
Caldwell's matchup against the Ravens may look bad by reputation. But they're ranked 22nd in receiving D, allowing nearly 250 yds/gm and 5 TDs. And even though footballoutsiders.com ranks the BAL D highly vs. #2 WRs, #2s haven't done that poorly so far against them: KC's Bradley 4/73, SD's Floyd/Chambers combined for 3/75, CLE's Furrey 4/40, NE's Welker 6/48 and Brady hit 9 different receivers. Caldwell has 23 targets so far compared to 21 for Coles, but Caldwell's reeled in 16 vs. 10 of those. Certainly not expecting a huge game, but 10-15 fantasy points would be great.
Flex - One more from the above
We're leaning towards starting both WRs and not messing w/ Leon or LJ this week.
Primetime:
1 WR - Garcon (@TEN), Crayton (@KC), Harvin (@STL), BJohnson (vs. PIT)
Garcon has a sweet matchup where Manning should tear up the weak TEN secondary. Ya never know tho w/ these intradivisional games; TEN could play them tough (tho doubtful this year). Harvin has a nice matchup too, but he's just not involved enough in that offense to be reliable. Crayton may get a few more looks this week if Roy is out, but he may also draw more doubles? Though PIT's allowed 7 receiving TDs, neither Stafford nor Culpepper are Rivers or Palmer.
![Very Happy :D](./images/smilies/icon_e_biggrin.gif)
Most likely going w/ Garcon, esp. seeing this could be his last productive week if Gonzo returns in week 7 after their bye.