Who Did You Miss On?
Posted: Mon Oct 25, 2004 10:35 am
We all enjoy being able to sit back and proudly say we were knew certain players were destined for fantasy greatness each season. Last year in my main league, for example, I snared guys like Rudi Johnson, Justin McCareins and Lee Suggs off the Waiver Wire long before they became household names. Moves like that are definitely the kind that let you puff your chest out a little more prominently every year.
But what about the flip side? I don't care how long you've been playing or how smart you think you are, there are going to be players each season that you target who simply don't get it done. For me, here are three guys who I liked a lot who have failed me miserably.
Travis Henry: Yes I knew McGahee was going to cut into Henry's carries, I knew the Bills had offensive issues and I knew Henry came with some risk, but everything I heard from Bills' insiders strongly said there was no reason to think Henry would be less than the RB he had been the previous two seasons. Even if McGahee got 20-30 percent of the carries, I still saw Henry as being a productive RB2. After all, the Bills were worthless last year, Henry was hurt most of the year and he still topped 1,300 yards with double-digit TDs. At the end of the day, I believe talent wins out 99 percent of the time in the NFL and Henry clearly has talent. But this looks like that 1 percent of the time where talent isn't going to equate to results. Henry just doesn't look like the same guy and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if McGahee was named the starter from here on out (which actually doesn't bother me because in every league I drafted Henry, I got McGahee later). Henry's going to be a big-time fantasy RB somewhere next season. Of that I'm certain. Unfortunately that doesn't do Henry owners the slightest bit of good this season.
Peerless Price: Anyone who read the cover story of our second issue of Fantasy Sports Magazine or who reads our newsletter and online content knows I'm less than sold on Michael Vick as a big-time NFL QB. And I strongly stated last year that Price was not a No. 1 WR in the NFL. So why draft Price? I viewed him as a lower-end WR2 and if the price was right (sorry) I was going to take him because I believe that even with his limitations and Vick's, he could still deliver solid WR2 numbers. The reason being Vick simply had to generate a stronger passing game than the Falcons had last season and that would lead to Price being better as well, right? Wrong. What I didn't anticipate was Vick turning into a much more celebrated version of Kyle Boller. Vick has been atrocious this season and since Price lacks the talent of a true No. 1 WR, he has been unable to overcome Vick's inadequate play and generate much positive fantasy production. It still might happen with both of them before the season's out, but until it does Price will be on the outside looking in the two leagues where he's on my roster.
Donte Stallworth: This guy really does have talent and Lord knows the Saints are loaded on offense and this is his third year and that's the magical year for WRs right? Apparently not. After a nice start to the season, Stallworth is back to being a Grade A Fantasy Dog. He's dropping passes left and right and he's nicked up again and he's again being outperformed by Jerome Pathon (who quite honestly should be the starter there opposite Joe Horn). This week, Aaron Brooks treated him as if he caught him sleeping with his wife, not that Stallworth deserves much better given all the passes he's dropped over the years. Like Price, Stallworth has talent and maybe the bye week will help and he'll be a stronger fantasy presence in the second half of the season, but it's impossible to have any faith in the guy given how badly he's played the last three weeks.
So those are 3 guys who I liked going into the season who have failed badly so far. Who's on your list?
[ October 25, 2004, 04:38 PM: Message edited by: Tom Kessenich ]
But what about the flip side? I don't care how long you've been playing or how smart you think you are, there are going to be players each season that you target who simply don't get it done. For me, here are three guys who I liked a lot who have failed me miserably.
Travis Henry: Yes I knew McGahee was going to cut into Henry's carries, I knew the Bills had offensive issues and I knew Henry came with some risk, but everything I heard from Bills' insiders strongly said there was no reason to think Henry would be less than the RB he had been the previous two seasons. Even if McGahee got 20-30 percent of the carries, I still saw Henry as being a productive RB2. After all, the Bills were worthless last year, Henry was hurt most of the year and he still topped 1,300 yards with double-digit TDs. At the end of the day, I believe talent wins out 99 percent of the time in the NFL and Henry clearly has talent. But this looks like that 1 percent of the time where talent isn't going to equate to results. Henry just doesn't look like the same guy and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if McGahee was named the starter from here on out (which actually doesn't bother me because in every league I drafted Henry, I got McGahee later). Henry's going to be a big-time fantasy RB somewhere next season. Of that I'm certain. Unfortunately that doesn't do Henry owners the slightest bit of good this season.
Peerless Price: Anyone who read the cover story of our second issue of Fantasy Sports Magazine or who reads our newsletter and online content knows I'm less than sold on Michael Vick as a big-time NFL QB. And I strongly stated last year that Price was not a No. 1 WR in the NFL. So why draft Price? I viewed him as a lower-end WR2 and if the price was right (sorry) I was going to take him because I believe that even with his limitations and Vick's, he could still deliver solid WR2 numbers. The reason being Vick simply had to generate a stronger passing game than the Falcons had last season and that would lead to Price being better as well, right? Wrong. What I didn't anticipate was Vick turning into a much more celebrated version of Kyle Boller. Vick has been atrocious this season and since Price lacks the talent of a true No. 1 WR, he has been unable to overcome Vick's inadequate play and generate much positive fantasy production. It still might happen with both of them before the season's out, but until it does Price will be on the outside looking in the two leagues where he's on my roster.
Donte Stallworth: This guy really does have talent and Lord knows the Saints are loaded on offense and this is his third year and that's the magical year for WRs right? Apparently not. After a nice start to the season, Stallworth is back to being a Grade A Fantasy Dog. He's dropping passes left and right and he's nicked up again and he's again being outperformed by Jerome Pathon (who quite honestly should be the starter there opposite Joe Horn). This week, Aaron Brooks treated him as if he caught him sleeping with his wife, not that Stallworth deserves much better given all the passes he's dropped over the years. Like Price, Stallworth has talent and maybe the bye week will help and he'll be a stronger fantasy presence in the second half of the season, but it's impossible to have any faith in the guy given how badly he's played the last three weeks.
So those are 3 guys who I liked going into the season who have failed badly so far. Who's on your list?
[ October 25, 2004, 04:38 PM: Message edited by: Tom Kessenich ]