Greg, I think your averages include bye weeks? For example, Brees totaled 504.4 points. Divided by 16, you get the 31.5 you show. But one of those 16 weeks was his bye week, so his total should be divided by 15, not 16, which comes out to 33.6.Greg Ambrosius wrote:Just taking one last look at the QBs, it's obvious why there are three distinct tiers of when QBs are going in recent drafts. All you have to do is look at last year's per game scoring average from these QBs to see how valuable they are to NFFC owners:
Tier 1 (ADPs of 3-17):
1 Aaron Rodgers - 539.8 points, 35.9 points per game
2 Tom Brady - 476.7 points, 29.7 ppg
3 Drew Brees - 504.4 points, 31.5 ppg
4 Matthew Stafford - 436.7 points, 27.2 ppg
5 Cam Newton - 455.7 points, 28.4 ppg
Tier 2 (ADPs of 35-60):
6 Michael Vick - 287 points, 22.0 ppg
7 Eli Manning - 371.4 points, 23.2 ppg
8 Matt Ryan - 370.9 points, 23.1 ppg
9 Tony Romo - 368 points, 23.0 ppg
10 Philip Rivers - 347.6 points, 21.7 ppg
11. Peyton Manning - 0 points
Tier 3 (ADPs of 69-86):
12 Ben Roethlisberger - 306.8 points, 20.4 ppg
13. Robert Griffin III - 0 points
14 Matt Schaub - 165 points, 16.5 ppg
15 Jay Cutler - 150 points, 15.0 ppg
Tier 4 (ADPs of 100-135):
16 Josh Freeman - 274.9 points, 18.3 ppg
17 Carson Palmer - 163 points, 16.3 ppg
18 Andy Dalton - 282.8 points, 17.6 ppg
19 Ryan Fitzpatrick - 307.1 points, 19.1 ppg
20 Joe Flacco - 284.9 points, 17.8 ppg
21 Andrew Luck - 0 points
22 Alex Smith - 261 points, 16.3 ppg
The Tier 1 QBs were worth 10-14 more points per game than the Tier 2 QBs and 15-20 points per game than the Tier 3 starting QBs that several NFFC Classic teams had to use each week. The Tier 2 QBs still outscored the Tier 3 QBs by 6-7 points per game, so it really shows how waiting on a QB in our scoring format can be dangerous. That being said, Tim Tebow did come to the rescue on the free agent wire last year and Carson Palmer helped a bit, too, but few players could match the top QBs last year, which included Cam Newton, whose ADP was 210.
Good luck this year getting a top QB who can score big points for you every week. It helps on the way to an NFFC title.
The tiers are probably still ok, but I just wanted to point out that the numbers may be off.
