2014 Early Season NFFC Draft Results

[Greg Ambrosius]

Here's one more from the 10-team format:

NFFC Cutline Championship
Round 1:
1 1 Jamaal Charles RB
1 2 Adrian Peterson RB
1 3 LeSean McCoy RB
1 4 Matt Forte RB
1 5 Calvin Johnson WR
1 6 Demaryius Thomas WR
1 7 Peyton Manning QB
1 8 Eddie Lacy RB
1 9 A.J. Green WR
1 10 Jimmy Graham TE

Round 2:
2 1 Julio Jones WR
2 2 Arian Foster RB
2 3 Dez Bryant WR
2 4 Brandon Marshall WR
2 5 Marshawn Lynch RB
2 6 Le'Veon Bell RB
2 7 Jordy Nelson WR
2 8 Julian Edelman WR
2 9 Antonio Brown WR
2 10 Giovani Bernard RB

Round 3:
3 1 Alshon Jeffery WR
3 2 Pierre Garcon WR
3 3 Keenan Allen WR
3 4 Randall Cobb WR
3 5 Montee Ball RB
3 6 T.Y. Hilton WR
3 7 DeMarco Murray RB
3 8 Julius Thomas TE
3 9 Doug Martin RB
3 10 C.J. Spiller RB

Round 4:
4 1 Drew Brees QB
4 2 Rob Gronkowski TE
4 3 Aaron Rodgers QB
4 4 Vincent Jackson WR
4 5 Victor Cruz WR
4 6 Larry Fitzgerald WR
4 7 Reggie Bush RB
4 8 Zac Stacy RB
4 9 Roddy White WR
4 10 Andre Johnson WR

Round 5:
5 1 Michael Crabtree WR
5 2 Andre Ellington RB
5 3 DeSean Jackson WR
5 4 Wes Welker WR
5 5 Kendall Wright WR
5 6 Alfred Morris RB
5 7 Percy Harvin WR
5 8 Ryan Mathews RB
5 9 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
5 10 Shane Vereen RB

Round 6:
6 1 Michael Floyd WR
6 2 Matthew Stafford QB
6 3 Jeremy Maclin WR
6 4 Trent Richardson RB
6 5 Frank Gore RB
6 6 Chris Johnson RB
6 7 Torrey Smith WR
6 8 Knowshon Moreno RB
6 9 Andrew Luck QB
6 10 Bishop Sankey RB

Thoughts?

[Greg Ambrosius]

Let's start the week out with another Draft Champions League result. Enjoy:

NFFC Draft Champions League
Round 1:
1 1 Jamaal Charles RB
1 2 LeSean McCoy RB
1 3 Matt Forte RB
1 4 Adrian Peterson RB
1 5 Eddie Lacy RB
1 6 Demaryius Thomas WR
1 7 Calvin Johnson WR
1 8 A.J. Green WR
1 9 Julio Jones WR
1 10 Peyton Manning QB
1 11 Dez Bryant WR
1 12 Giovani Bernard RB

Round 2:
2 1 Jimmy Graham TE
2 2 Brandon Marshall WR
2 3 Alshon Jeffery WR
2 4 Antonio Brown WR
2 5 Doug Martin RB
2 6 Marshawn Lynch RB
2 7 Jordy Nelson WR
2 8 DeMarco Murray RB
2 9 Le'Veon Bell RB
2 10 Aaron Rodgers QB
2 11 Montee Ball RB
2 12 Pierre Garcon WR

Round 3:
3 1 Arian Foster RB
3 2 Reggie Bush RB
3 3 Randall Cobb WR
3 4 Julian Edelman WR
3 5 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3 6 C.J. Spiller RB
3 7 Julius Thomas TE
3 8 Andre Ellington RB
3 9 Vincent Jackson WR
3 10 Zac Stacy RB
3 11 Wes Welker WR
3 12 Ryan Mathews RB

Round 4:
4 1 Torrey Smith WR
4 2 Drew Brees QB
4 3 Keenan Allen WR
4 4 Victor Cruz WR
4 5 Shane Vereen RB
4 6 Alfred Morris RB
4 7 Matthew Stafford QB
4 8 Andre Johnson WR
4 9 T.Y. Hilton WR
4 10 Rob Gronkowski TE
4 11 Roddy White WR
4 12 Michael Crabtree WR

Round 5:
5 1 Percy Harvin WR
5 2 Ray Rice RB
5 3 Kendall Wright WR
5 4 Chris Johnson RB
5 5 DeSean Jackson WR
5 6 Michael Floyd WR
5 7 Andrew Luck QB
5 8 Jordan Cameron TE
5 9 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
5 10 Jeremy Maclin WR
5 11 Emmanuel Sanders WR
5 12 Mike Wallace WR

Round 6:
6 1 Vernon Davis TE
6 2 Joique Bell RB
6 3 Trent Richardson RB
6 4 Bishop Sankey RB
6 5 Nick Foles QB
6 6 Riley Cooper WR
6 7 Ben Tate RB
6 8 Toby Gerhart RB
6 9 Rashad Jennings RB
6 10 Steven Jackson RB
6 11 Pierre Thomas RB
6 12 Knowshon Moreno RB

Thoughts?

[Greg Ambrosius]

We filled three NFFC Cutline Leagues last week and will try for a similar total this week. Here's another 10-team league result from last week:

NFFC Cutline Championship
Round 1:
1 1 LeSean McCoy RB
1 2 Jamaal Charles RB
1 3 Matt Forte RB
1 4 Adrian Peterson RB
1 5 Calvin Johnson WR
1 6 Demaryius Thomas WR
1 7 Eddie Lacy RB
1 8 Jimmy Graham TE
1 9 Dez Bryant WR
1 10 Julio Jones WR

Round 2:
2 1 A.J. Green WR
2 2 Alshon Jeffery WR
2 3 Brandon Marshall WR
2 4 Marshawn Lynch RB
2 5 DeMarco Murray RB
2 6 Peyton Manning QB
2 7 Le'Veon Bell RB
2 8 Jordy Nelson WR
2 9 Arian Foster RB
2 10 Randall Cobb WR

Round 3:
3 1 Pierre Garcon WR
3 2 Antonio Brown WR
3 3 Giovani Bernard RB
3 4 Montee Ball RB
3 5 Doug Martin RB
3 6 Aaron Rodgers QB
3 7 Vincent Jackson WR
3 8 Keenan Allen WR
3 9 T.Y. Hilton WR
3 10 Larry Fitzgerald WR

Round 4:
4 1 Wes Welker WR
4 2 C.J. Spiller RB
4 3 Drew Brees QB
4 4 Julius Thomas TE
4 5 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
4 6 Reggie Bush RB
4 7 Victor Cruz WR
4 8 Roddy White WR
4 9 Andre Ellington RB
4 10 Andre Johnson WR

Round 5:
5 1 Percy Harvin WR
5 2 Julian Edelman WR
5 3 Michael Floyd WR
5 4 Michael Crabtree WR
5 5 Shane Vereen RB
5 6 Alfred Morris RB
5 7 Zac Stacy RB
5 8 DeSean Jackson WR
5 9 Emmanuel Sanders WR
5 10 Bishop Sankey RB

Round 6:
6 1 Rob Gronkowski TE
6 2 Matthew Stafford QB
6 3 Chris Johnson RB
6 4 Jeremy Maclin WR
6 5 Ryan Mathews RB
6 6 Torrey Smith WR
6 7 Andrew Luck QB
6 8 Kendall Wright WR
6 9 Nick Foles QB
6 10 Rashad Jennings RB

Thoughts?

[Sandman62]

Let's start the week out with another Draft Champions League result. Enjoy:

NFFC Draft Champions League
3 11 Wes Welker WR
Thoughts?

I find this an interesting ADP trend so far this year... Last year he finished 18th among WRs and that's right where he's been going so far. In this draft, he crept up to 15th. Maybe it's as simple as the positive of Decker leaving is a wash with the negative of his declining production in the second half last year, along with his concussion history? But is this the right direction for his ADP to be heading this year?

Last year, 9 of his 10 TDs came in the first 8 games; and his 73/778 was nothing special without the TDs. Then his production dropped off for 5 games, before missing some games down the stretch due to multiple concussions within a month. The glass half-full crowd might extrapolate his 13 regular season games over a full 16-game season, or even just consider the 16 games he did play (including playoffs) - which would've projected to around 90/950/12 and a top-12 WR. However, the glass half-empty side might suggest that if he continues this year with similar production to the 5 games he played in the second half of last year, he would only score 74/713/3 this year, or just 163 NFFC points - which would put him outside the top 30 WRs. I think I'm kind of in between there on him.

Ok, so Decker is gone and maybe folks assume Welker will get a bump? But Sanders and the rookie, Latimer, have arrived. Maybe not a total 1:1 replacement, but can we imagine at least Sanders and either Caldwell and/or Latimer combining to cover what DEN lost in Decker? Not to mention, don't we expect a regression for Peyton from his record-setting year?

Ok, so Welker's in a contract year. But are the Broncos interested in feeding him the ball to boost his next contract next year (at 34 yrs old)? Or will they focus on preparing for life after Welker by getting the new guys more involved this year? This seems a bit deja vu to his final time in New England. Given Welker's concussion history too, you never know when he could miss a few games [again].

I'm not sure there's much room for Welker to improve. Maybe he has upside of 80/900, but maybe his TDs go down to the 6 or 7 range? That'd give him around 206-212 NFFC points, which would've landed him right where he was last year, 18th.

I predict he falls short of that and ends up around 75/825/6, flirting with top-25 status, and overdrafted in many leagues this year due to the volatility of TDs, which he was heavily reliant upon last year.

[Sandman62]

Interesting... I hadn't seen this yet when I posted above:
http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/4 ... --and--tes

[Greg Ambrosius]

It's interesting to note that in the last six NFFC drafts posted here, Calvin Johnson and DeMaryius Thomas have gone right next to each other, between the 5th, 6th and 7th picks. And even more interesting, Thomas has gone ahead of Megatron in three of those six drafts. Could that trend continue this off-season?

[Tom Kessenich]

Interesting... I hadn't seen this yet when I posted above:
http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/4 ... --and--tes

Don't agree all of those players are tough to rank but I do agree Vernon Davis is more difficult. He's obviously talented and a Red Zone beast but whenever Crabtree has been healthy he's been the guy Kaepernick targets most while Davis' targets decline. I think Davis is being overdrafted right now because people are focusing on his talent (which is understandable) and ignoring a two-year long clearcut trend of diminishing returns for Davis when Crabtree is on the field.

[Sandman62]

It's interesting to note that in the last six NFFC drafts posted here, Calvin Johnson and DeMaryius Thomas have gone right next to each other, between the 5th, 6th and 7th picks. And even more interesting, Thomas has gone ahead of Megatron in three of those six drafts. Could that trend continue this off-season?

I think so Greg. Calvin and Demaryius may be heading in different directions and it may be time for a changing of the guard.
• One WR is in his 8th year and missed a couple games last year due to injury. The other is in just his 5th year and coming off 2 rock-solid consistent seasons without missing a game, posting 94/1434/10 and 92/1430/14.
• One team let some lackluster WRs walk and added some intriguing replacements at WR and TE. The other let a top-10 WR go (and replaced him with one or two that may combine to fill his shoes). IOW, one may lose some targets and the other may gain some.

[Sandman62]

Interesting... I hadn't seen this yet when I posted above:
http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/4 ... --and--tes

Don't agree all of those players are tough to rank but I do agree Vernon Davis is more difficult. He's obviously talented and a Red Zone beast but whenever Crabtree has been healthy he's been the guy Kaepernick targets most while Davis' targets decline. I think Davis is being overdrafted right now because people are focusing on his talent (which is understandable) and ignoring a two-year long clearcut trend of diminishing returns for Davis when Crabtree is on the field.

I don't agree with all of their thoughts either Tom, though, like you, I think Davis takes a target hit. I was referring to their take on Welker though (which painted the same polarized positions that I alluded to on his prospects this year).

[Tom Kessenich]

I said before last season ended that if Decker left (which he did) I could see Thomas being WR1 this season. At some point, another WR is going to overtake Megatron. It likely would've happened last year if Julio Jones hadn't gotten hurt. He was WR1 at the time of his injury. Thomas possesses the talent, QB and situation to ascend to the top spot. It's no surprise to me to see people taking him over Calvin. He's that good.