We begin Phase II at 12ET today. We go for seven rounds in this phase. I'll post a few more as we move along.
7.01...LMiller
7.02...TColeman
7.03...DWalker
7.04...CDavis
7.05...CThompson
7.06...DkJohnson
7.07...CKupp
7.08...JDoyle
7.09...JEdelman
7.10...DLewis
7.11...WFuller
7.12...KRudolph
7.13...PGarcon
7.14...SShepard
8.01...OJHoward
8.02...NAgholor
8.03...CHogan
8.04...AJones
8.05...MCrabtree
8.06...DBooker
8.07...GBernard
8.08...ICrowell
8.09...ESanders
8.10...JMcKinnon
8.11...JamWilliams
8.12...JWitten
8.13...DParker
8.14...JReed
9.01...ADalton
9.02...MGoodwin
9.03...SGostkowski
9.04...Jacksonville D/ST
9.05...JTucker
9.06...GKittle
9.07...CCarson
9.08...JWhite
9.09...Rookie 5
9.10...RAnderson
9.11...MTrubisky
9.12...RiMatthews
9.13...GZuerlein
9.14...HButker
I'm not going to bore you with our PK and D/ST runs, so there's the first 9 rounds of Trendsetters. I'm sure you'll see individual team results over the next few months. We should finish this phase in a coupe days.
Trendsetters 2018
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BigBlueNation
- Posts: 843
- Joined: Sat Jul 21, 2012 6:00 pm
Re: Trendsetters 2018
Bill Cleavenger
UK Wildcats...We don't rebuild, we "RELOAD"
UK Wildcats...We don't rebuild, we "RELOAD"
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Glenneration X
- Posts: 1704
- Joined: Thu Apr 09, 2009 6:00 pm
- Location: Long Island, NY
Re: Trendsetters 2018
Just completed the 2nd phase of this year's Trendsetters draft. I neglected to post my picks after the 1st phase, so will do so here for both phases along with the comments I posted in the MFL draft room as I made each pick.
Phase 1 - 2/4 to 2/7/18
1.05 - David Johnson - RB1 - Drafted DJ 1st overall last year, so I suppose this represents a discount. A little bit of a dice roll with the coaching change and coming back from a year long injury, but there are few with DJ's ceiling... and against this crowd, it's all about ceiling.
2.10 - Mike Evans - WR1 - Like my 1st pick DJ, Evans is coming off a forgettable 2017. Also like DJ though, Evans has the talent and upside to end up the top player at his position for 2018.
3.10 - Rob Gronkowski - TE1 - This was a tough one, but I just couldn't pass on Gronk this late with two other TE's already off the board despite the retirement noise. I'd put odds on Gronk retiring at 1 to 10. I'll take those odds in the late 3rd.
4.05 - Kirk Cousins - QB1 - One pick away from grabbing Luck, but was probably saved from myself. Cousins though is also a dice roll. He ends up in Minny or Denver... 7 or 11! Cleveland... crapped out! My J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets... I just hit my hard ways triple parlay Baby!
5.10 - Philip Rivers - QB2 - The QB runs seem to start earlier & earlier every year that goes by in Trendsetters. Not loving taking my 2nd QB in only 5 rounds of drafting, but you need productive QB's in the NFFC format and we're getting awful close to the line where getting that production from the QB's left seem awful shaky.
6.05 - Dez Bryant - WR2 - Remember when Dez was part of that Elite 6 Dynasty WR's a few years back, even 1st overall to some. Well, he aint there no more. Where for art thou Tony Romo? Still, Dez probably remains good enough to be a value in the 6th round as the 27th WR taken in this draft. And with that pick, the 1st phase of this draft ends for me. See you all again in 3 weeks.
Phase 2 - 2/23 to 2/25/18
7.10 - Dion Lewis - RB2 - Dion started the year towards the back end of the Pats 4-headed RB committee but through the process of injury elimination ended the regular season as the feature back... and excelled in the role. Now likely moving on from the dreaded Belichek RB carousel, there's a lot of upside if he lands in the right situation.
8.05 - Michael Crabtree - WR3 - Crab is on the wrong side of 30 and coming off a disappointing season. Still he's only one year removed from much greater production as Carr's go-to and Gruden's early comments about his expectations for Crab this year are promising. Even if he just holds onto and produces in his typical #1 red zone role for Oakland, he should return value as my WR3.
9.10 - Robby Anderson - WR4 - Robby Anderson can flat out fly. Driving though is another thing. He probably should have his license revoked, but as long as he can take the bus to the games he should produce for my J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets. Especially as it's likely we'll have a better QB under center.
10.05 - Matt Prater - K1 - Ugh, we're in that part of the draft. Kicker run. Sigh. Well, might as well get one that hits 50 yarders regularly and is just a few months off signing an extension.
11.10 - Vikings - D1 - Still in the ugly zone of the draft, and with all the top K's taken might as well go with a top D.
12.05 - Marshawn Lynch - RB3 - Beast Mode!!! I struggled to make this pick, but when it came down to it, even a potentially over the hill Lynch may be the best bet to have a significant role with his current team of the RB dreck left in this draft. And while Marshawn struggled early last year to shake off the rust from his season off, he did look very good the last half dozen games or so. Any way we can channel 2013-14 for some of the players on my team?
13.10 - Samaje Perine - RB4 - Before settling on Marshawn Lynch last round, I considered many of the other RB's taken since. The one still remaining here is Perine, who a report on Rotoworld today named the likely 2018 starter for the Skins. Now its way early in the off-season for marginal producers from last season to be named de facto starters for this year, but amongst the fringe options still left at the position, any good noise is better than no noise.
Well that's it for now. 3 weeks until the next phase. Can't wait.
Phase 1 - 2/4 to 2/7/18
1.05 - David Johnson - RB1 - Drafted DJ 1st overall last year, so I suppose this represents a discount. A little bit of a dice roll with the coaching change and coming back from a year long injury, but there are few with DJ's ceiling... and against this crowd, it's all about ceiling.
2.10 - Mike Evans - WR1 - Like my 1st pick DJ, Evans is coming off a forgettable 2017. Also like DJ though, Evans has the talent and upside to end up the top player at his position for 2018.
3.10 - Rob Gronkowski - TE1 - This was a tough one, but I just couldn't pass on Gronk this late with two other TE's already off the board despite the retirement noise. I'd put odds on Gronk retiring at 1 to 10. I'll take those odds in the late 3rd.
4.05 - Kirk Cousins - QB1 - One pick away from grabbing Luck, but was probably saved from myself. Cousins though is also a dice roll. He ends up in Minny or Denver... 7 or 11! Cleveland... crapped out! My J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets... I just hit my hard ways triple parlay Baby!
5.10 - Philip Rivers - QB2 - The QB runs seem to start earlier & earlier every year that goes by in Trendsetters. Not loving taking my 2nd QB in only 5 rounds of drafting, but you need productive QB's in the NFFC format and we're getting awful close to the line where getting that production from the QB's left seem awful shaky.
6.05 - Dez Bryant - WR2 - Remember when Dez was part of that Elite 6 Dynasty WR's a few years back, even 1st overall to some. Well, he aint there no more. Where for art thou Tony Romo? Still, Dez probably remains good enough to be a value in the 6th round as the 27th WR taken in this draft. And with that pick, the 1st phase of this draft ends for me. See you all again in 3 weeks.
Phase 2 - 2/23 to 2/25/18
7.10 - Dion Lewis - RB2 - Dion started the year towards the back end of the Pats 4-headed RB committee but through the process of injury elimination ended the regular season as the feature back... and excelled in the role. Now likely moving on from the dreaded Belichek RB carousel, there's a lot of upside if he lands in the right situation.
8.05 - Michael Crabtree - WR3 - Crab is on the wrong side of 30 and coming off a disappointing season. Still he's only one year removed from much greater production as Carr's go-to and Gruden's early comments about his expectations for Crab this year are promising. Even if he just holds onto and produces in his typical #1 red zone role for Oakland, he should return value as my WR3.
9.10 - Robby Anderson - WR4 - Robby Anderson can flat out fly. Driving though is another thing. He probably should have his license revoked, but as long as he can take the bus to the games he should produce for my J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets. Especially as it's likely we'll have a better QB under center.
10.05 - Matt Prater - K1 - Ugh, we're in that part of the draft. Kicker run. Sigh. Well, might as well get one that hits 50 yarders regularly and is just a few months off signing an extension.
11.10 - Vikings - D1 - Still in the ugly zone of the draft, and with all the top K's taken might as well go with a top D.
12.05 - Marshawn Lynch - RB3 - Beast Mode!!! I struggled to make this pick, but when it came down to it, even a potentially over the hill Lynch may be the best bet to have a significant role with his current team of the RB dreck left in this draft. And while Marshawn struggled early last year to shake off the rust from his season off, he did look very good the last half dozen games or so. Any way we can channel 2013-14 for some of the players on my team?
13.10 - Samaje Perine - RB4 - Before settling on Marshawn Lynch last round, I considered many of the other RB's taken since. The one still remaining here is Perine, who a report on Rotoworld today named the likely 2018 starter for the Skins. Now its way early in the off-season for marginal producers from last season to be named de facto starters for this year, but amongst the fringe options still left at the position, any good noise is better than no noise.
Well that's it for now. 3 weeks until the next phase. Can't wait.
Re: Trendsetters 2018
Here is my latest phase from the "lovely" 14 hole.....
7.1 - LAMAR MILLER - RB3 - His stats were considerably better when DeShaun played, and I still think he could be the guy (this was before today's Rotoworld blurb). I can't see them letting him go until they KNOW Foreman is OK, and achilles to an RB is a death sentence. Be that as it may, if he goes somewhere else and gets an opportunity, I can live with it.
8.14 - TE JORDAN REED - TE2 - I said 10 Hail Mary's and 10 Our Fathers after making this pick. We all know the injury risk is huge, but so is the upside. WIth pop gun arm Alex Smith in town, Reed will be an early and often target.....until he gets hurt. I just couldn't resist as a #2 TE.
9.1 - QB ANDY DALTON - QB2 - I can live with the "red rifle" as my #2, as it wasn't long ago that he was a top 10 (even 5) QB. The running game sucks, so dump off passes to Mixon and Gio will count too.
10.14 - ADAM VINATIERI - K1 - Only kicker left I felt comfortable with who has a guaranteed job. Dude is into his career as much as the Andersen/Anderson brothers, but still gets it done.
11.1 - WR KELVIN BENJAMIN - WR3 - Was surprised he was still on the board this late. Big target who can get yards and TD's. He just needs someone competent to get him the ball (is that asking for too much?)
12.14 - LA CHARGERS - D/ST1 - Everybody needs AT LEAST one of them, and this was the last on my board before a steep drop off (IMO). Bosa and that secondary now gets another rookie twice a year (Mahomes) to terrorize, and if Denver doesn't sign Cousins.....GAME ON!
13.1 - CJ ANDERSON - RB4 - This pick is VERY "unsexy", but it looks like with the Lamar Miller news, it could be an exciting few days of free agency for my team. CJ is a bell cow who can catch, and has the occasional big game. He was as good as anything else left at RB, so I took the plunge.
AFTER 13 ROUNDS....
QB- Matthew Stafford, Andy Dalton
RB- Jordan Howard, Carlos Hyde, Lamar Miller, CJ Anderson
WR- Michael Thomas, Keenan Allen, Kelvin Benjamin
TE- Greg Olsen, Jordan Reed
K- Adam Vinatieri
D- LA Chargers
7.1 - LAMAR MILLER - RB3 - His stats were considerably better when DeShaun played, and I still think he could be the guy (this was before today's Rotoworld blurb). I can't see them letting him go until they KNOW Foreman is OK, and achilles to an RB is a death sentence. Be that as it may, if he goes somewhere else and gets an opportunity, I can live with it.
8.14 - TE JORDAN REED - TE2 - I said 10 Hail Mary's and 10 Our Fathers after making this pick. We all know the injury risk is huge, but so is the upside. WIth pop gun arm Alex Smith in town, Reed will be an early and often target.....until he gets hurt. I just couldn't resist as a #2 TE.
9.1 - QB ANDY DALTON - QB2 - I can live with the "red rifle" as my #2, as it wasn't long ago that he was a top 10 (even 5) QB. The running game sucks, so dump off passes to Mixon and Gio will count too.
10.14 - ADAM VINATIERI - K1 - Only kicker left I felt comfortable with who has a guaranteed job. Dude is into his career as much as the Andersen/Anderson brothers, but still gets it done.
11.1 - WR KELVIN BENJAMIN - WR3 - Was surprised he was still on the board this late. Big target who can get yards and TD's. He just needs someone competent to get him the ball (is that asking for too much?)
12.14 - LA CHARGERS - D/ST1 - Everybody needs AT LEAST one of them, and this was the last on my board before a steep drop off (IMO). Bosa and that secondary now gets another rookie twice a year (Mahomes) to terrorize, and if Denver doesn't sign Cousins.....GAME ON!
13.1 - CJ ANDERSON - RB4 - This pick is VERY "unsexy", but it looks like with the Lamar Miller news, it could be an exciting few days of free agency for my team. CJ is a bell cow who can catch, and has the occasional big game. He was as good as anything else left at RB, so I took the plunge.
AFTER 13 ROUNDS....
QB- Matthew Stafford, Andy Dalton
RB- Jordan Howard, Carlos Hyde, Lamar Miller, CJ Anderson
WR- Michael Thomas, Keenan Allen, Kelvin Benjamin
TE- Greg Olsen, Jordan Reed
K- Adam Vinatieri
D- LA Chargers
Re: Trendsetters 2018
Here are my picks from Phase 2 of this draft:
(7.7 - WR33) Kupp
As a rookie on the Rams breakout offense last year, he finished as WR25, leading all receivers in red-zone targets (26), and scoring all five of his TDs inside the 20. I think I like him even better if Watkins stays put to continue drawing coverage.
(8.8 - RB29) Crowell
The Browns 0-16 season last year did wonders to erase from memory the fact that he was the RB14 in 2016, scoring 209 points. Based on that and the feeling that the Browns could only improve upon their 1-15 2016 season with a strong O-line, he was thrust into round 4 ADP last year. That didn't work out so well once stud LT Joe Thomas didn't make it through October.
Though other free agent RBs like Hyde and Lewis will deservedly get more attention this off-season, Crowell has four years experience already at age 25 and a lot of tread left on his tires. Just about anywhere he goes that's better than the Browns have been should be an upgrade, as better offensive game script should yield more carries and hopefully more TDs.
(9.7 - RB32) Carson
He looked powerful in limited action last year and seems to be the front-runner for lead duties. Hopefully, the SEA backfield thins out a bit once free agency starts in a couple weeks. But they'll also need to upgrade their O-line if any RB is to make it through a season there.
(10.8 - PK11) Boswell
Pro bowler last year, sporting an 89.5% career FG rate. "Only three other kickers in NFL history (Dan Bailey, Justin Tucker and Mike Vanderjagt) have posted a higher rate in a player’s first 3 years and a minimum of 90 total attempts."
(Source: http://www.steelersdepot.com/2018/02/st ... fl-seasons)
I guess I'm all-in on Steelers (with Ben and Brown too)? Ben's advanced age is a risk, but there are certainly worse strategies than hitching your wagon to the perennially powerhouse PIT offense.
(11.7 - PK18) Hauschka
He finished 13th among kickers last year on the sputtering Bills offense (which admittedly, may still sputter). After SEA let him go for failing to even convert even 83% (29/35) of his extra points in 2016, he bounced back in Buffalo by hitting all 29 XP attempts and only missing four FGs (87.9%), two each from the 40+ and 50+ yard range. He seems to have some job security though, which is all I can ask for in a second kicker.
(12.8 - Def4) Rams
Already the DST3 last year and now they're adding a stud CB in Marcus Peters (albeit with a volatile personality), compliments of the Chiefs. And the rich get richer.
(13.7 - RB41) Foreman
I admit that today's news blurbs about Miller's uncertain future in HOU piqued my interest in taking an RB4 before a WR4. But he started to flash last season and if the Texans do decide to move on from Miller, Foreman could breakout well with Watson commanding this offense. Plus getting their defense back healthy could put them on the better side of some 4th quarter clock-killing. Or... this pick could be a total bust if his return from an Achilles injury goes like the last HOU RB who suffered the same (Foster)!
Perfect for a challenging DC like this league, where you just have to take some swings for the fence.
Team so far:
QB: Brady, Roethlisberger
RB: Henry, Crowell, Carson, Foreman
WR: ABrown, Cooks, Kupp
TE: Graham
DST: LAR
K: Boswell, Hauschka
(7.7 - WR33) Kupp
As a rookie on the Rams breakout offense last year, he finished as WR25, leading all receivers in red-zone targets (26), and scoring all five of his TDs inside the 20. I think I like him even better if Watkins stays put to continue drawing coverage.
(8.8 - RB29) Crowell
The Browns 0-16 season last year did wonders to erase from memory the fact that he was the RB14 in 2016, scoring 209 points. Based on that and the feeling that the Browns could only improve upon their 1-15 2016 season with a strong O-line, he was thrust into round 4 ADP last year. That didn't work out so well once stud LT Joe Thomas didn't make it through October.
Though other free agent RBs like Hyde and Lewis will deservedly get more attention this off-season, Crowell has four years experience already at age 25 and a lot of tread left on his tires. Just about anywhere he goes that's better than the Browns have been should be an upgrade, as better offensive game script should yield more carries and hopefully more TDs.(9.7 - RB32) Carson
He looked powerful in limited action last year and seems to be the front-runner for lead duties. Hopefully, the SEA backfield thins out a bit once free agency starts in a couple weeks. But they'll also need to upgrade their O-line if any RB is to make it through a season there.
(10.8 - PK11) Boswell
Pro bowler last year, sporting an 89.5% career FG rate. "Only three other kickers in NFL history (Dan Bailey, Justin Tucker and Mike Vanderjagt) have posted a higher rate in a player’s first 3 years and a minimum of 90 total attempts."
(Source: http://www.steelersdepot.com/2018/02/st ... fl-seasons)
I guess I'm all-in on Steelers (with Ben and Brown too)? Ben's advanced age is a risk, but there are certainly worse strategies than hitching your wagon to the perennially powerhouse PIT offense.
(11.7 - PK18) Hauschka
He finished 13th among kickers last year on the sputtering Bills offense (which admittedly, may still sputter). After SEA let him go for failing to even convert even 83% (29/35) of his extra points in 2016, he bounced back in Buffalo by hitting all 29 XP attempts and only missing four FGs (87.9%), two each from the 40+ and 50+ yard range. He seems to have some job security though, which is all I can ask for in a second kicker.
(12.8 - Def4) Rams
Already the DST3 last year and now they're adding a stud CB in Marcus Peters (albeit with a volatile personality), compliments of the Chiefs. And the rich get richer.
(13.7 - RB41) Foreman
I admit that today's news blurbs about Miller's uncertain future in HOU piqued my interest in taking an RB4 before a WR4. But he started to flash last season and if the Texans do decide to move on from Miller, Foreman could breakout well with Watson commanding this offense. Plus getting their defense back healthy could put them on the better side of some 4th quarter clock-killing. Or... this pick could be a total bust if his return from an Achilles injury goes like the last HOU RB who suffered the same (Foster)!
Perfect for a challenging DC like this league, where you just have to take some swings for the fence.Team so far:
QB: Brady, Roethlisberger
RB: Henry, Crowell, Carson, Foreman
WR: ABrown, Cooks, Kupp
TE: Graham
DST: LAR
K: Boswell, Hauschka
Last edited by Sandman62 on Mon Feb 26, 2018 2:26 pm, edited 3 times in total.
Re: Trendsetters 2018
Colored draft board updated through Phase 2 (13 rounds): https://od.lk/s/OThfODU1ODUzNl8/Trendse ... 0Board.pdf
Last edited by Sandman62 on Tue Apr 10, 2018 12:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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BigBlueNation
- Posts: 843
- Joined: Sat Jul 21, 2012 6:00 pm
Re: Trendsetters 2018
Our team from the 2 spot after 13 rounds
QB...CNewton, MRyan
RB...TGurley, Rookie4, BPowell
WR...THill, ACooper, PGarcon, NAgholor
TE...EEbron, VMcDonald
PK...GZuerlein, MBryant
D/ST...
7.13...PGarcon - Like his chances of a bounceback year if Garoppolo is as good as he looks
8.02...NAgholor - Lots of upside and Alshon's health a concern
9.13/10.02...GZuerlein/MBryant - The K run is on. We liked Zuerlein with that leg and the new LAR offense. OldMan MBryant is still pretty damn good.
11.13...BPowell - He still catches a lot of passes when healthy. Not a bad RB3 in a DC.
12.02...EEbron - I think he showed signs of what we expected late in the year. A great passing offense.
13.13...VMcDonald - He needs to stay healthy. Another great passing offense.
QB...CNewton, MRyan
RB...TGurley, Rookie4, BPowell
WR...THill, ACooper, PGarcon, NAgholor
TE...EEbron, VMcDonald
PK...GZuerlein, MBryant
D/ST...
7.13...PGarcon - Like his chances of a bounceback year if Garoppolo is as good as he looks
8.02...NAgholor - Lots of upside and Alshon's health a concern
9.13/10.02...GZuerlein/MBryant - The K run is on. We liked Zuerlein with that leg and the new LAR offense. OldMan MBryant is still pretty damn good.
11.13...BPowell - He still catches a lot of passes when healthy. Not a bad RB3 in a DC.
12.02...EEbron - I think he showed signs of what we expected late in the year. A great passing offense.
13.13...VMcDonald - He needs to stay healthy. Another great passing offense.
Bill Cleavenger
UK Wildcats...We don't rebuild, we "RELOAD"
UK Wildcats...We don't rebuild, we "RELOAD"
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Sabretooth
- Posts: 683
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2008 6:00 pm
- Location: Indianapolis
Re: Trendsetters 2018
My Team from the 4 spot phase 2
7.11 WR Will Fuller
8.04 RB Aaron Jones
9.11 QB Mitch Trubisky
10.4 K Wil Lutz
11.11 K Dustin Hopkins
12.04 WR DeDe Westbrook
13.11 D Patriots
My team after 13 Rounds from the 4 spot
QB Luck,Trubisky
RB Elliot, Drake, A Jones
WR Landry ,Fitzgerald, Fuller, Westbrook
TE Engram
K Lutz ,Hopkins
D Pats
7.11 WR Will Fuller
8.04 RB Aaron Jones
9.11 QB Mitch Trubisky
10.4 K Wil Lutz
11.11 K Dustin Hopkins
12.04 WR DeDe Westbrook
13.11 D Patriots
My team after 13 Rounds from the 4 spot
QB Luck,Trubisky
RB Elliot, Drake, A Jones
WR Landry ,Fitzgerald, Fuller, Westbrook
TE Engram
K Lutz ,Hopkins
D Pats
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BigBlueNation
- Posts: 843
- Joined: Sat Jul 21, 2012 6:00 pm
Re: Trendsetters 2018
Phase 3 begins Fri. March 16 for seven more rounds. IMO, this is the most interesting part of the draft.
Bill Cleavenger
UK Wildcats...We don't rebuild, we "RELOAD"
UK Wildcats...We don't rebuild, we "RELOAD"
Re: Trendsetters 2018
Colored draft board updated through Phase 3 (20 rounds): https://od.lk/s/OThfODU1ODUzNl8/Trendse ... 0Board.pdf
Re: Trendsetters 2018
We finished the most recent phase of this draft over a week ago, but no one's posted their picks yet - so I'll go first and see if we can get some chatter going on the message boards.
Here are the links to my team through the first two phases:
1) viewtopic.php?f=18&t=16709&start=10#p219641
2) viewtopic.php?f=18&t=16709&start=20#p219651
14.8: TE Tyler Eifert (TE21)
Good thing I don't need him every single week in a DC, huh?
Yup, he's only played ten games the past two years.
But if you look at the number of "quality games" (using 10-pts scored) delivered by TEs for fantasy purposes over the past three years and the average points scored in those games, he ranks third among those with a meaningful number of games to be considered. And in DC leagues, an argument can be made that upside is more important than consistent mediocrity because in games where your TE1 doesn't reach 10 points, there's a good chance you're using points from another one of your TEs anyway.
Player QualGms AvgPts
Gronk 26 20.3
Reed 20 20.1
Eifert 13 19.2 (none in 2017 tho)
Olsen 21 18.4
Kelce 29 18.3
Ertz 26 17.9
Engram 8 17.1 (just 2017)
Walker 31 16.3
Brate 17 16.0
Graham 25 15.8
Doyle 14 15.7 (2016-17 only)
Witten 18 15.6
Rudolph 25 15.0
Ebron 18 14.9
Henry 14 14.5 (2016-17 only)
15.7: WR Chris Godwin (WR59)
Elite athlete who got more involved down the stretch late last season. DJax in decline and GM talking up a larger role for him this year could lead to a spike in production.
16.8: WR Jordan Matthews (WR63)
This could be a wild-ass miss, but rumors have suggested the Packers or the Saints – either of which could work out well. Though he was plagued by injury last year and on a run-first team, he'll be just 26 years old this season. In the right environment he could return to something close to his 2015-16 form, when he delivered eleven quality WR fantasy games (14+ points) in those two years, averaging over 21 PPG in those games. And if he completely whiffs? Well, at WR63, they’re all dart throws.
17.7: WR Tyrell Williams (WR68)
In 2016, with Keenan Allen out, Williams went 69/1059/7, before falling back into a lesser role last year of 43/728/4. At just 26 years old and 6’4 205, he could be traded by LAC if Mike Williams starts to show promise. If not, I’d settle for somewhere between last year’s three quality games (14+ points) and 2016’s seven quality games.
18.8: BUF DST (DST25)
Last year’s DST13 by total DST points scored, and added some d-line improvements, which should help increase last year’s sack total of just 21 closer to 2016’s 39. They provided eight quality games (10+) last year though, five of which even eclipsed 15 points. I’ll take that for a DST2, especially combined with the Rams as my DST1 (which I admittedly have been very lucky to watch them add Peters, Talib and recently Suh since I drafted them in phase 2).
19.7: RB Kenneth Dixon (RB56)
After I waited on RBs last year in this draft and took him as my supposed RB1, he owes me! He could find himself third on the depth chart in BAL though if he doesn’t beat out Allen for passing-down duties.
20.8: TE Tyler Kroft (TE30)
A necessary TE handcuff (ick, I think I just threw up a little just saying that!
). But with four quality games in 2017, in which he averaged 17.8 points, I lockup the CIN TE production pretty inexpensively.
Here are the links to my team through the first two phases:
1) viewtopic.php?f=18&t=16709&start=10#p219641
2) viewtopic.php?f=18&t=16709&start=20#p219651
14.8: TE Tyler Eifert (TE21)
Good thing I don't need him every single week in a DC, huh?
Yup, he's only played ten games the past two years.But if you look at the number of "quality games" (using 10-pts scored) delivered by TEs for fantasy purposes over the past three years and the average points scored in those games, he ranks third among those with a meaningful number of games to be considered. And in DC leagues, an argument can be made that upside is more important than consistent mediocrity because in games where your TE1 doesn't reach 10 points, there's a good chance you're using points from another one of your TEs anyway.
Player QualGms AvgPts
Gronk 26 20.3
Reed 20 20.1
Eifert 13 19.2 (none in 2017 tho)
Olsen 21 18.4
Kelce 29 18.3
Ertz 26 17.9
Engram 8 17.1 (just 2017)
Walker 31 16.3
Brate 17 16.0
Graham 25 15.8
Doyle 14 15.7 (2016-17 only)
Witten 18 15.6
Rudolph 25 15.0
Ebron 18 14.9
Henry 14 14.5 (2016-17 only)
15.7: WR Chris Godwin (WR59)
Elite athlete who got more involved down the stretch late last season. DJax in decline and GM talking up a larger role for him this year could lead to a spike in production.
16.8: WR Jordan Matthews (WR63)
This could be a wild-ass miss, but rumors have suggested the Packers or the Saints – either of which could work out well. Though he was plagued by injury last year and on a run-first team, he'll be just 26 years old this season. In the right environment he could return to something close to his 2015-16 form, when he delivered eleven quality WR fantasy games (14+ points) in those two years, averaging over 21 PPG in those games. And if he completely whiffs? Well, at WR63, they’re all dart throws.
17.7: WR Tyrell Williams (WR68)
In 2016, with Keenan Allen out, Williams went 69/1059/7, before falling back into a lesser role last year of 43/728/4. At just 26 years old and 6’4 205, he could be traded by LAC if Mike Williams starts to show promise. If not, I’d settle for somewhere between last year’s three quality games (14+ points) and 2016’s seven quality games.
18.8: BUF DST (DST25)
Last year’s DST13 by total DST points scored, and added some d-line improvements, which should help increase last year’s sack total of just 21 closer to 2016’s 39. They provided eight quality games (10+) last year though, five of which even eclipsed 15 points. I’ll take that for a DST2, especially combined with the Rams as my DST1 (which I admittedly have been very lucky to watch them add Peters, Talib and recently Suh since I drafted them in phase 2
).19.7: RB Kenneth Dixon (RB56)
After I waited on RBs last year in this draft and took him as my supposed RB1, he owes me!
He could find himself third on the depth chart in BAL though if he doesn’t beat out Allen for passing-down duties.20.8: TE Tyler Kroft (TE30)
A necessary TE handcuff (ick, I think I just threw up a little just saying that!
). But with four quality games in 2017, in which he averaged 17.8 points, I lockup the CIN TE production pretty inexpensively.