Originally posted by Coltsfan:
My start this year absolutely proves it's luck!
Actually I can tell you where I got lucky in the nffc. It was with who I didn't get. I was wanting one of three RB's in the third round but Smith, Brown, and Grant all went ahead of me. Our fallback plan was Royal but Billy took him with the pick before us. That was lucky.
In the fourth we figured to get Braylon or Desean but Vincent Jackson fell to us. That was very lucky. (We liked him but had we been that high on him we would have taken him in the third.)
In the last part of the 5th round Mason, Chris Henry, Berrian, and Antonio Bryant went leaving Donald Driver for us. I consider that very fortunate.
We really wanted either Schaub or Palmer as our QB and the way they fell we were able to wait until the 8th round and still get Schaub. That was extremely lucky.
We also haven't had any major injuries outside of Gore in the wcoff and laurent in the ffpc.
So overall I feel VERY lucky so far. It can all change this next week (and probably will.) It's funny but I truly believe that your luck is just as much about what doesn't happen (ie: Eddie Royal) as it is about what actually does happen.
What's the ratio of luck vs skill??? I have no idea.
Wayne I've enjoyed reading this thread but reading this post was the best. Here is a guy who others have praised because of his skill. He's at the top of the standings (or so was stated in a previous post) and he could boast that he's at the top because of skill, preparation, research, watching 100 preseason games, etc. No. He actually admits he's been "lucky" and got lucky in the draft.
It actually humbles me. I'm currently in the top 10 overall in the NFBC and I would like to take all the credit in the world for that. I think I'm very good in the NFBC and felt I would have my best year this year because I prepared more for this year's draft than ever before. This year, I picked 10th. Our plan was to draft Chase Utley and then draft Carl Crawford in rd 2. If Utley was not available at pick 10, our plan B was to draft Josh Hamilton. Hamilton has been injured for much of the season. Utley fell to us but if he hadn't, our first round pick would've been a total bust. In rd 4, we were going to draft D Ortiz but, since he was drafted 5 picks before our turn, we drafted plan b- Roy Halladay. Sometimes, other people drafting the guys you want actually turns out best for you in the end. LUCK.
I love fantasy football and baseball and always love the luck vs skill debate no matter how many times the threads reappear on the messageboards. Lots of fun to discuss. No doubt in fantasy football, there is more luck involved. Fantasy baseball - more skill- or is it more preparation, more time, more research- and are all of those things pieces that make up what we call skill?
Ok, I'm rambling.... Bottomline of my post is this:
While everyone (including myself) loves to tout how skillful we are at playing this game, there are few of us who are willing to tout how lucky we are. I don't know Wayne, but his last post is humbling and brutally honest. Very refreshing.
There are a 1000 small decisions that every one of us have made. Unless you are the one guy in FF that prints the ESPN cheatsheet on draft day and flips a coin for lineup decisions ...