GuruReport.com Expert League Draft

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Tom Kessenich
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Post by Tom Kessenich » Tue May 23, 2006 5:46 am

I don't like taking TEs early and given the abundance of talent at that position this year I think waiting on TEs is the smart move to make. I got Stevens near the end and consider him a Top 10 TE so I have no concerns there.

The problem with passing on McGahee in the second is that it could lead me to have a very poor RB corps during the season. And as I've stated, I believe that in a flex league you need to have RB strength if you are going to win (that applies to all leagues for the most part in my opinion but it's even more of a pre-requisite in a flex league). If I take a WR in the second and then get Droughns in the third as my RB2 now I'm scrambling to find a third RB who I'm comfortable with and that may prove to be a season-long process which will be my undoing.

And as history suggests, finding quality WRs in the later rounds or even on the WW is a very strong possibility whereas that is possible with RBs but more unlikely to occur. So I felt no pressure to get good WRs in the middle rounds because I knew there would be a large number of them to choose from -- and there were.
Tom Kessenich
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Tom Kessenich
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Post by Tom Kessenich » Tue May 23, 2006 5:47 am

Here's a link to the rules

http://football14.myfantasyleague.com/2 ... 26898&O=26

Oh and should McGahee regain his form (and I'm not saying he will), I will have drafted a Top 10 RB in the second round which is HUGE value. That's another strong way to win a fantasy title.
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Nag'
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Post by Nag' » Tue May 23, 2006 5:50 am

Originally posted by Tom Kessenich:
finding quality WRs in the later rounds or even on the WW is a very strong possibility whereas that is possible with RBs but more unlikely to occur. I will respectfully disagree.
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Post by Nag' » Tue May 23, 2006 5:55 am

So SIX teams make the playoffs? The reason I ask is because I believe this plays a big part in draft strategy compared to leagues where only TWO teams advance.
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Post by TamuScarecrow » Tue May 23, 2006 5:56 am

This is a pretty moot point in that the majority of leagues are won by the team that makes the right choices in rounds 5-16 and FA IMO regardless of what studs you take in rounds 1-4. The guys who scooped up RBs and then came back and grabbed Fitzgerald, S. Moss, Galloway, Chambers, one of the double-digit avg. TEs, and a good qb combo were the big winners. The same can be said for the guys who scooped up WRs and then came back and grabbed LJ, Tatum Bell, Gado in FA.

I've seen a lot of different strategies win and lose and so I won't knock anyone's stategy although I have my own preferences. Seems success can come in many different ways. I won a league drafting RB, TE, RB, QB. 3rd pick was bad but 1,3,and 4 were a great foundation.
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Post by Tom Kessenich » Tue May 23, 2006 5:58 am

Let's compare the Top 25 RBs and WRs from 2005. Now this is for standard scoring (PPR leagues will be different) but this serves to reinforce the basic point I'm making. Of the Top 25 at these positions, the following were later-round picks or WW pickups in many leagues:

RBs
Mike Anderson (depending on the date of the draft)
Willie Parker
Stephen Davis

WRs
Santana Moss
Joey Galloway
Rod Smith
Donald Driver
Keenan McCardell
Jimmy Smith
Donte Stallworth
Eddie Kennison
Kevin Curtis
Joe Jurevicius
Deion Branch


That's a pretty significant difference IMO. It seems clear to me that it's easier to hit on productive WRs in the later rounds (or off the WW depending on the size of your league) than it is to do so with RBs.

[ May 23, 2006, 11:59 AM: Message edited by: Tom Kessenich ]
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Nag'
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Post by Nag' » Tue May 23, 2006 6:03 am

Originally posted by Tamuscarecrow:
This is a pretty moot point in that the majority of leagues are won by the team that makes the right choices in rounds 5-16 and FA IMO regardless of what studs you take in rounds 1-4. Again, I will have to disagree with that cliche as well. Making the right choices in the first 4 rounds can put you on the path to the playoffs regardless what happens with the rest of the picks (provided you don't draft 5-16 rounds of garbage) and it is easier to do then find studs later. By the same token, if you swing and miss on a couple of players in the forst 4 rounds, you will HAVE to rely on finding those studs later and that is harder said then done.
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Post by Nag' » Tue May 23, 2006 6:12 am

Originally posted by SNAKE:
TK...SNAKE knows that you'll take Option A everytime here...


Jordan
McGhaee
Droughns
Driver
Stallworth
Porter

vs.

Jordan
C.Johnson
Droughns
insert round 4 RB here
Stallworth
Porter Who said that anything about drafting a RB there? Why not another WR and a RB in the 5th or 6th? Think outside the box, snakie.
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