UFFC's top 12 RBs for 2008 (Pre draft)

[pizzatyme]

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:
I guess Jackson first will spark a debate...but I'd take Addai over Jackson every day, and even Addai may not be my first pick.

Jackson and Addai total yards per game were roughly the same.

Jackson dropped in rec, is on a fairly weak team, and only managed 6 TD last year vs. Addai 15 and on a tough team to defend.

Addai only had 10 combined rushing attempts during the last two games of the season, and missed a game vs. TB. (and still scored at least one TD in 10 games.)

~Lance I know Addai's numbers were comparable. I guess I believe Addai had a career type year versus I believe Jackson gives one a much higher ceiling. Prorating out Jackson's TDs to about 9 makes him only slightly below Addai last season and he was injured. He played in 12 games, but I don't believe he was close to healthy in atleast 2 of those 12.

I'll take my lumps this season with Jackson, but I expect a major bounce in numbers this year.

[pizzatyme]

Originally posted by Diesel:
For everyone who thinks Adrian Peterson is going to be the next best thing in fantasy football, please see LARRY JOHNSON as a reference.

No QB in Minny. Chester still there. AP is going to go way too high this coming year. I agree he's going to have a few monster games, but don't count on him for a full season of stats.

I know I'm EXTREMELY in the minority on this issue, but that's my story and I'm sticking to it. You guys can praise me or ridicule me when it all unfolds. Marc, ADP had 1600 combined yards and 13 TDs on a rising team, as a rookie, with a 1st year starting QB. Plus, he did this in 14 games!

What is not to like here? For me it was basically a coin flip for 1st overall between him and Jackson.

[pizzatyme]

Originally posted by Route C:
No love for Portis in the top group??? RC, I love me some Portis. I have him at the top of the second group. But with his injury history and new HC, I could not sneak him into the top 12 as of yet. That is very possible to change as the season approaches.

[pizzatyme]

Originally posted by Coltsfan:


And I believe that Grant's situation go significantly worst with Favre's retirement. There will probably be safer picks in the 2nd round.

Wayne Wayne, I don't think Grant is impacted much at all with Favre retiring. I think their O-line is built for the running game. I also believe that Aaron Rodgers will surprise many this year.

[BillyWaz]

MJD at #6 is the one that surprises me the most.

Last I checked, Fred Taylor was still a Jaguar, and that "technically" makes MJD a backup.

How could you possibly justify a first rounder on a backup?

If Taylor leaves, yes, I could see MJD in the first round.

If not, he is VERY late 2nd/early 3rd round material. That is where he was going last year, and what "positives" would cause him to move up??

[pizzatyme]

Originally posted by BillyWaz:
MJD at #6 is the one that surprises me the most.

Last I checked, Fred Taylor was still a Jaguar, and that "technically" makes MJD a backup.

How could you possibly justify a first rounder on a backup?

If Taylor leaves, yes, I could see MJD in the first round.

If not, he is VERY late 2nd/early 3rd round material. That is where he was going last year, and what "positives" would cause him to move up?? BW, I understand the sentiment. I just feel like this year we will see MJD take the next logical step. Their offense appears to have more weapons this year. Plus, there comes a time in every Studs life where he must let the young buck take the reigns.

Obviously, it is early in the off-season. This is just how I could see it shaping up this year.

[Nag']

Originally posted by BillyWaz:
MJD at #6 is the one that surprises me the most.

Last I checked, Fred Taylor was still a Jaguar, and that "technically" makes MJD a backup.

How could you possibly justify a first rounder on a backup?

If Taylor leaves, yes, I could see MJD in the first round.

If not, he is VERY late 2nd/early 3rd round material. That is where he was going last year, and what "positives" would cause him to move up?? I agree with this completely. Had Fred showed some signs of slowing down, it would make sense to give MJD a push up the rankings, but quite the opposite happened. MJD will have no more than his typical 40-50% of the RB touches in Jacksonville. Mathematically, that simply isn't enough touched to allow him to be a top 10 back. Unless Fred gets injured. But I don't think its wise to use injury to form rankings - especially early rankings.

[CC's Desperados]

I think it will be fun just seeing players getting drafted all over the place in the first round.

You might get the best player in the draft sitting in the 6th or 7th hole. You then get the edge in round two and three.

[pizzatyme]

Originally posted by Nag':
quote:Originally posted by BillyWaz:
MJD at #6 is the one that surprises me the most.

Last I checked, Fred Taylor was still a Jaguar, and that "technically" makes MJD a backup.

How could you possibly justify a first rounder on a backup?

If Taylor leaves, yes, I could see MJD in the first round.

If not, he is VERY late 2nd/early 3rd round material. That is where he was going last year, and what "positives" would cause him to move up?? I agree with this completely. Had Fred showed some signs of slowing down, it would make sense to give MJD a push up the rankings, but quite the opposite happened. MJD will have no more than his typical 40-50% of the RB touches in Jacksonville. Mathematically, that simply isn't enough touched to allow him to be a top 10 back. Unless Fred gets injured. But I don't think its wise to use injury to form rankings - especially early rankings. [/QUOTE]Nag, you and BW make sound arguments. This is just a personal opinion and estimation of what I think MJD does this season. I'm okay being wrong here. We shall see.

BTW, MJD had 42% of the rushes and 80% of the Receptions between these 2 players. MJD also had 64% of the TDs between these 2 players.

I like Fred Taylor, but he is 32 and entering his 12th year. Some time it has to end.