2007 Draft Slots ~ presented by UFS

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 12:36 pm

Originally posted by Ted's Cracked Head:
Do these numbers show that the current system needs to change? FYI - i wouldn't use 2004 data. this was the event's first year. crazy things happen in year one. no one is use to the system, etc...

#1 thing to remember when analyzing multi-year data...NEVER NEVER NEVER use year one data in the analysis.

use 2005 and 2006 (through week 9) and post the results. thanks.

kjduke · Post by **kjduke** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 12:44 pm

thx for the analysis Ted, but as I've said before, using data from the entire draft creates irrelevant statistical noise. After 4 rounds it's a free for all, slot doesn't mean much.

I'd be interested in seeing scoring from the first 4 rounds (with injuries notated); that is where slots makes a difference.

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 12:49 pm

Originally posted by KJ Duke:
thx for the analysis Ted, but as I've said before, using data from the entire draft creates irrelevant statistical noise. After 4 rounds it's a free for all, slot doesn't mean much.

I'd be interested in seeing scoring from the first 4 rounds (with injuries notated); that is where slots makes a difference. i'm not sure i buy that. noise (if random) should be equally distributed between all draft slots, correct?

Ted's Cracked Head · Post by **Ted's Cracked Head** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 12:55 pm

thx for the analysis Ted, but as I've said before, using data from the entire draft creates irrelevant statistical noise. After 4 rounds it's a free for all, slot doesn't mean much.

I'd be interested in seeing scoring from the first 4 rounds (with injuries notated); that is where slots makes a difference.
Do not hold your breath for this data unless you want to send me all of the drafts from these past two years in an excel spreadsheet. Then I will do some serious crunching.

use 2005 and 2006 (through week 9) and post the results. thanks I will do that sometime later tonight with and without 2004 and thru wk 9 of this year. Though it is probably better to wait until the end of this years regular season to do this. (which I will)

sportsbettingman · Post by **sportsbettingman** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 12:57 pm

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:
quote:Originally posted by Ted's Cracked Head:
Do these numbers show that the current system needs to change? FYI - i wouldn't use 2004 data. this was the event's first year. crazy things happen in year one. no one is use to the system, etc...

#1 thing to remember when analyzing multi-year data...NEVER NEVER NEVER use year one data in the analysis.

use 2005 and 2006 (through week 9) and post the results. thanks. [/QUOTE]Someone with an agenda.

Ignore year one.

Ignore the post season.

Use weeks 1-9 of this season.

Will your future league be called Fantasy Football World Championships?

~Lance

ultimatefs · Post by **ultimatefs** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 12:59 pm

Originally posted by Ted's Cracked Head:
Pick 1 stands out as it is averaging from 52 to 119 points more during the regular season over every other slot.

Picks 2,3 and 8 are avg maybe 13 - 39 points more than most picks over the course of 13 weeks.

Do these numbers show that the current system needs to change? Ted, always good stuff and great effort!

I like how GG wants 2004 not to count but using Weeks 1-9 is OK?

:rolleyes:

2004 counts for sure.

Put 2006 in after Week 13 and then lets see if there is some drastic difference.

4-5 points per week is the noise IMO. That's where the injuries, etc affect the numbers.

If the weekly diff is 10 pts after 3 years, I would do something. JMO

Ted's Cracked Head · Post by **Ted's Cracked Head** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 1:00 pm

I will be doing it for all 16 weeks for the past two years. I did not have time to pull the other data and will later tonight or tomorrow. I will post this stuff here whenever I get it done.

ultimatefs · Post by **ultimatefs** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 1:02 pm

Originally posted by Ted's Cracked Head:
I will do that sometime later tonight with and without 2004 and thru wk 9 of this year. Though it is probably better to wait until the end of this years regular season to do this. (which I will) [/quote]

Please don't post Week 9 info. It doesn't mean anything. Just look at how the info has already changed from Week 6 to Week 8.

Ted's Cracked Head · Post by **Ted's Cracked Head** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 1:02 pm

Ted, always good stuff and great effort! Worth a Corona or 12?

Ted's Cracked Head · Post by **Ted's Cracked Head** » Wed Nov 08, 2006 1:05 pm

Please don't post Week 9 info. It doesn't mean anything. Just look at how the info has already changed from Week 6 to Week 8.
My first thought was that I shouldn't (see above) but now that every team has had there bye, it might be OK and I will update it later this year anyway.

How can I say no to GG?