Post
by Sandman62 » Tue Nov 29, 2011 2:11 pm
While I certainly understand that H2H often does reward inferior teams... which of these 2 hypothetical teams are "better", if their 16-game scoring went as follows:
1) 180, 180, 180, 110, 110, 110, 110 ,110, 110, 110, 110, 110, 160, 160, 160, 160= 2170
2) 140, 140, 140, 130, 130, 130, 130, 130, 130, 130, 130, 130, 130, 140, 140, 140 = 2140
In this extreme case, maybe team 1 is good at drafting starters, but terrible at drafting a bench? Therefore, they lose a lot of games during the bye weeks due to lack of depth? OTOH, team 2 maybe doesn't draft as solid of a starting lineup, but has great depth and works the wire well and therefore survives the bye weeks with more victories. Are we absolutely SURE that team 1 is better though just because it scored more total points? [The answer is probably "yes" when WE'RE team 1 and no when we're team 2?! ]
I've been on (and am currently on) both sides of this coin. All I'm saying is that it's not always sheer luck when a lower-scoring team does well in H2H - and by "lower", I don't mean the 10th or 12th scoring team; I mean a team outside the top 3 or 4 but maybe still in the middle. (Though in the case of our Super, it pretty much IS a lot of good fortune that we're still in the H2H hunt! )
I guess all I'm suggesting for consideration is that, similar to deciding when to use AVERAGE vs. MEDIAN, sometimes consistency needs to be rewarded too, not just super-volatility that happens to hit some high peaks now and then.
[ November 29, 2011, 08:15 PM: Message edited by: Sandman62 ]