Post
by Coach JP » Thu Oct 04, 2012 12:07 pm
I've never seen such an overreaction four weeks into the season like I am with kickers in this thread.
I drafted Tucker on my best NFFC team knowing darn well he'd get his chances this year, reading how he had a leg that could hit from 60 and knowing the Ravens would be in a faster paced offense. I also took into account Joe Flacco's tendency to slip, and thought it'd result in a lot of FG's for Baltimore. I also drafted Prater thinking he'd have his chances, and thus far he hasn't been as strong.
That said, it could still change since it's only week 5, and Tucker could wind up finishing outside the top 12 when all is said and done and Prater could finish high. Just like any other position.
However, kicker is no different than any other position, ESPECIALLY when you take in a small sample size of 25% worth of season data.
QB Leaders
Ryan, Brees, Roeth (low draft), Griffin (low draft), Fitzpatrick (low draft), Brady, Dalton (low draft), Flacco (low draft) are the eight highest scoring QB's per game right now.
62.5% of these QB's were low drafted, but who here thinks these guys will still be here by week 16?
Wide Receiver has Amendola, Brian Hartline, Torrey Smith and Andre Roberts near the top. Again, odds these guys last this high through sixteen weeks?
Last year when all was said and done, the average kicker nested around 8.5-9.5 points which is definitely not going to swing a game. However, owners should be awarded the extra 2-3 points per game for selecting the right player, just like someone should be rewarded for selecting Griffin or Amendola.
The difference between the two (K and QB), is nailing a QB can get you an extra 10-15 points a game, while nailing an elite kicker will, at best over 16 weeks, get you an extra 1-3 points per game on average. If you're losing games because of kickers consistently, you might need to re-address the rest of your lineup.
Even when you take into K vs RB or another position, the argument still doesn't hold up. It's not smart to start comparing one position vs another in fantasy.
At the end of the day, a teams kicker will LIKELY score the same average points as another kicker and usually ends up in a wash. You can't start comparing a kicker vs another position, because you can't compare the average scoring of a kicker to the average scoring of a RB.
Last edited by
Coach JP on Thu Oct 04, 2012 12:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.